Michael Coppedge Studies: THE DISPLACER CURVE

Ideas are really private ideas. Almost all of my ideas are private thoughts.

Only two of my ideas were psychologists teaching about atheism, or something like that.

Virtually none of my ideas are social ideas.

Virtually all of my ideas were private thoughts.

I might say all of my ideas were private ideas.

You have to think that I have only two ideas to think that two of my ideas are psychology.

Psychology, social, whatever. Thoughts are private!

Michael Coppedge Studies: CRITIQUE OF POLITICS

This critique ends up one of the places where my Dad, Michael, ended up years ago while studying, researching, and teaching political science.

If politics were an ethical hierarchy, we wouldn't have ethical choices.

So, its not an ethical hierarchy.

So, public speeches are almost nothing compared to what's concealed under the surface.

Politicians probably do whatever is exciting, or whatever they can get away with.

If so, there is something wrong with ethical choices, because they ask us to hive up power, and the power itself is not very ethical.

If ethics is for the weak, its attractiveness is deceptive.

If the atttaction to ethics is deceptive, there is no longer reason to trust ethics.

If we cannot trust ethics, it is duplicitous.

If ethics is duplicitous, it does not even have principle.

If ethics is without principle, it may be hard to defend any principle.

Therefore, politics seems to offer in its defense that it has no principle, that if it is duplicitous, at least it is not weak.

However, duplicitous atrength raises strong contradictions unless the roles of good and evil are reversed, which to good people should look like complete evil.

Therefore, politics looks like complete evil to good people, and if it has principle it is either weak or duplicitous.

Therefore, the hope of politics is with or without principle, in one case weak, in the other evil.

Therefore, the power of politics comes from divided strength. So, politics is weak, so politics is either good or lacks principle.

So there is nothing good about politics except principle.

The only successful politics is failure. The best politics is a successful failure.

Or perhaps politics is not reasonable, never relatively successful, and always greedy.

Michael Coppedge Studies: MICHAEL'S DETERMINATE INDETERMINISM

Some things we determine to be impossible.

This serves the purpose of eliminating some bad options.

Over time, many bad options are eliminated.

People are very glad life was so determined, because many options are very bad.

…

Michael Coppedge Studies: MICHAEL'S NEGATIVE PREDICTOR

Michael made predictions about his two sons.

He thought: Brian is smart and pessimistic, so something will happen to him, probably something smart and wonderful.

Then he thought: Nathan is not so smart, and expects everything to go well, so maybe something terrible will happen to Nathan.

So, he went around his business expecting something awful to happen to Nathan, and something wonderful to happen to Brian.

As the years went on, Nathan developed a mental illness, and Brian fell in love. And Michael thought, this is not so different than what I expected.

But, is mental illness really that bad? Nathan is taken care of by the government, and Brian's love relationship did not turn out perfect. Its time to revise expectations.

Nathan was optimistic about intelligence, and intelligence alone. Brian was pessimistic about love, and optimistic about college.

Now probably it will comtinue, but things will get better in the areas where they were worse, and worse in areas where they were fine. That's what happens when you're smart.

And it seemed like, Nathan's mental health was improving, but college cost a lot of money. Brian's love relationship failed, but he was still friends with his ex-girlfriend.

Things seemed to go as predicted! It just happens to depend on the model!

Michael Coppedge Studies: A LESSON LEARNED

Here are the cases of over-logicafying that I know about, as far as establishing knowledge:

• The essentialist fallacy: if 'coherence’ or ‘rationality’ is the only substance, this doesn't necessarily say anything, because when determining what something is, the first thing rationalists and coherentists do is apply rationality or coherence. In other words, truth must be conditional, and even universal conditions can be conditional.
• Saying nothing is true because everything is difficult does not refute difficulty, or whatever else you are assuming, within assumptions.
• Exaggerating how problematic things are using vocabulary like paradox and conundrum does not solve the problem, and can be a fallacy of technicalism.
• Contrast does not necessarily help an argument. Some arguments can make sense for reasons that aren't recognized.
• Very technical people may over-commit to their own arguments, or may not recognize the power of the status quo. This can result in a lack of perspective related to the type of argument being made.
• Neutrality. We should continue to respect a neutral position if it is possible the neutral position may eventually make a wiser choice, spend less money, not carry burden of proof, etc. We cannot always assume it is better to make an asymmetric argument.
• Informalism. It is important to keep in mind some rather insignificant-looking tools which are actually better at their job than highly advanced tools. Trusting the real experts no matter who they really are seems to be the lesson.

In conclusion, rationality faces the same logical problems as irrationality, it is just perhaps more likely to believe its own argument, and less likely to think breaking rules is permitted.

So, the lesson is:

• Know which rules are sacred.
• Don't believe your argument.
• Trust the experts.

And, sometimes, as my Dad the Yale PhD learned, don't trust the experts when you have experience. They are not infinite.

Michael Coppedge Studies: THE RUDIMENTARY COHERENT-CORRESPONDENCE THEORY

Even coherence may be a specialization that other specialists are likely to avoid, so it might be innocent to say that all of it could be in play at the same time, unless perhaps if we combine these:

• Logic.
• Networks.
• Data.
• Interpretation.

This might be called Michael Coppedge's Rudimentary Coherent Correspondence Theory, although I'm not sure my Dad still views it the same way.

Michael Coppedge Studies: THE YOUNG MICHAEL COPPEDGE

PARGE CONSULT(T)

Poets support Democracy, because they create dialectic.

Rousseau is evil.

Rousseau thought primitivism developed into slavery that developed into reason.

Rousseau was a Pessimist about Platonism.

Democracy is using reason to rise out of anarchy.

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MANHOOD

They tell me… Always the truth and then lies.

Always the truth, and then some lies…!

ALWAYS THE TRUTH, AND THEN SOME LIES…

Always the truth and then some lies.

You sound just like a man.

Very good, very good.

Will you be in a mental hospital muttering this?

I don't know, should I say?

Very good, very good.

You sound like a man.

How To Be Smart: THE BOOK OF GRANDPARENTS

They became images because of their children.

How To Be Smart: THE FABLE OF HOW NATHAN INVENTED LUCK

I had a psychic feeling I was going to be eaten by a shark.

I thought, if I’m confronting a devil fish, I need to hit the wall!

And I had a clue it was some secret related to John Locke…

After all, locks required keys, and keys were indicators of secrets…

So, from my standpoint, since I had big ears, it would be something that sounded likeLocke…

Locke was also a genius who had a small brain, which was thought to be impossible…

Incidentally, there was something called St Patrick's Day, which already existed. It was like Freddy Fixer Day, or Mayflower Day.

They used clovers because they were Irish, but I never heard the word 'luck’.

So… I approached someone, in madness as I may have been…

Me: You know, St. Patrick's is a LUCKY holiday?

Man: What's that mean?

Me: Well, it means clovers are actually GOOD for you. Actually, very good.

Man: Well, I'm not sure… maybe I DID hear that before. That sounds a little familiar… LUCK… yeah, lucky days… Geez… we almost forgot about luck!

But I thought maybe he was saying 'low-key’ days.

So, I thought I had invented it, or perpetuated it. Which explains why I later went on to invent perpetual motion…

How To Be Smart: GUIDE TO LUCK AND FORTUNE

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M(T(TM)T VENU

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M(TM)

M(T) M(m)

M(TTM)

M(T(MTW))

M(TTT)

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M(TOO)

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You will not become lucky without hard work.

That seems to be the official answer.

I discovered my passion, created the Unity Project, created numerous drawings in pen-and-ink, not to mention being an honors student and earning a scholarship and some other awards and starting my own website featuring my further passion for inventing, before I found any four-leaf clovers.

For someone else, they might discover sex, or an inheritance, or a lucky magic power. But for me it had to be literally the clovers, because I was fairly unlucky, although rather fortunate, to begin with.

NOTES:

There are many people who are for example, very wealthy, but depressed or disabled, or who are very lucky, but constantly encountering hardship.

Luck and fortune are not the same thing.

You can have luck at every level of Fortune’s Wheel.

Sometimes the luckiest things are actually experienced at the bottom, but if all you have is luck at the top, you don’t do very well.

On the other hand, fortune is often hard-bought, whereas extreme luck is just very rare.

So, the formula for fortune is to use yourself up. The formula for luck is to be exceptional.

Also, strategy pays off for fortune, but luck can disappear through carelessness. And both of them may show themselves in ways you may not always appreciate, but luck is usually far more obvious, at least from the outside.

From the outside luck looks like everything. And from the inside fortune is miserable. However, fortune is the way to change your life.

How To Be Smart: STRING COMPONENT

1. Long, wavy hook string.
2. Big overlapping loop.
3. Long, with small loop (s).
4. Long U-shaped string.

Combine. Now imagine rolling and knotting the strings. Voila!

How To Be Smart: PROGRESSIVE INTELLIGENCE: AN ACCIDENTAL PUBLIC POLICY MANUAL

Accidental Public Policy Manual. The trick is to skip disaster.

Basic recognition.

The ability to test the limits.

The effort of recognizing contradiction.

The wisdom of Maintaining the Status Quo.

Genius of not being a fool.

Freedom of speech.

Public recognition.

Public amnesty.

Justice is its own reward.

Private battles end in victory.

Maintaining public image.

Setting the agenda straight.

Refocusing priorities.

The legacy of commitment.

The core grand strategy.

Thinking webs.

Goodbye reality.

Renaissance People.

Renewed Strength.

Fighting Battles.

Making a difference.

Redeeming Qualities.

Strengthening Ties.

Global Ecosystem.

Removing Tangles.

Promoting Allies.

Community Dialogue.

Statements of Optimism.

Big Discovery.

Improved Economy.

Meaningful Issues.

Trouble with Industry.

Strategic Developments.

New Opportunities.

Changing Social Roles.

Quantity of Labor.

Reserve Resources.

Economic Strategy.

Special Interests.

Grapple for Power.

Finding Clarity.

Maintaining Contacts.

Social Power.

Public Respect.

Down to Earth.

Populism.

Withdrawal.

Politesse.

Gravitas.

Officiation.

Administration.

Strong Priorities.

Agenda.

Policy Advising.

Policy Decisions.

Intelligence.

Threat Board.

Special Operations.

Military Strategy.

Foreign Strategy.

Trade Agreements and Embargos.

Bank System.

Taxes, Tarriffs and Trade.

Social Agenda.

Amenities & Entertainment.

Technology.

Tech Strategy.

Advances in Intelligence.

State of Science.

Policy Paradigms (Philosophy).

Black Swans.

Critical Policy.

Shortcuts & Countermeasures.

Public Health.

Administrative Decisions.

Delegation.

Secrets.

Sttategic Delegation.

Population & Urban Planning.

Sociometrics.

Information Resources.

Academic Advising.

Corporate Contacts.

Organization Strategy.

Structural Development (government organization).

Surface Changes.

Innuendos.

Predictive Forecasting.

Revisiting past statements of the Oracle.

Open policy initiative.

How To Be Smart: PROOF OF THOUGHT

1

Imagine someone really annoying appears in your mind, like a trickster dressed in a bard's costume.

Immediately you think to push your only weapon, an imaginary staff, against his solar plexus (the place between his stomach and his rib cage).

As it turns out, the way you imagined it the staff broke the flesh of the trickster's solar plexus, and the trickster in your mind goes away.

Now, here is the thing:

If the staff were completely insubstantial there would be no way for one part of it to push on another part with the strength to break the trickster's belly.

As soon as the trickster's belly is broken, we know ideas are real and if real means material, we know they are material.

2

Another case is really bad books.

If you write a whole lot of really bad books, you have to write more books to have the same content.

Therefore any content is real.

How To Be Smart: THE CRAP CONJECTURE

A development of The Secrets of the Universe section 2.

What thinks primarily about the universe has wormholes as consciousness, what thinks primarily about wormholes has the universe as consciousness.

What crap thinks is God itself thinks primarily about wormholes—no kidding.

We might not assume we're not crap, and so we might know we are ideally wormholes and wormholes are evidence of a universal consciousness.